How Do You Trade The Non-Farm Payroll Report

In the development of your forex strategy do you wonder how you can trade the non-farm payroll report?

Seeing this is one of the most, if not the most, volatile announcement during the month (first Friday in every month) newer traders watch the huge movements and wonder how to make money from all that volatility.

Seeing this is one of the most, if not the most, volatile announcement during the month (first Friday in every month) newer traders watch the huge movements and wonder how to make money from all that volatility.

The answer given below you may not fully appreciate until some explanation is offered.

Question

"How do I trade the non-farm payroll report?"

Answer

"You DON'T!"

Or to put it another way, "By maintaining a neutral position!"

The market is far too volatile at this time to expect a high probability trade. There may be some gamblers out there who relish the thought of ‘placing a bet’ to go long or short. But serious traders know better.

Actually, the professional traders I know all say the same thing: Stand aside and wait for the market to calm down.”

This may take between 30 to 45 minutes in some cases and even then the direction of the market may be uncertain.

Some suggest you can trade volatile market movers such as the non-farm payroll report by waiting for the first leg of the move, up or down, then wait for price to pull back 10 or 15 pips, then enter a trade to catch the second leg of the move which often follows.

That’s one possibility but still very high risk. Personally I prefer to base my forex strategy on sound market assessment and carefully researched trades.

Trading The Aftermath

However, while many professional traders sit out the non-farm payroll report, that doesn’t mean they don’t trade afterwards.

After the market has made a violent move in one direction you sometimes see price stalling and then give a clear signal that it’s momentum is exhausted.

Look For Combination Factors

This may be in the form of a candle pattern such as a hammer with a very large shadow which also happens to be on a key support or resistance level.

Now you can enter a trade with a small level of risk as you place your stop just above the high or low of the candle signal.

This advice applies to all fundamental announcements which are considered ‘market movers’. By developing a cautious forex strategy based on sound trading principles, you will enjoy this business and get the satisfaction of seeing your account equity steadily growing.

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How to became a successful trader

I began currency trading 2 years ago. The first 3 months trading were complete failure, I remember I lost all my money and I was about to quit, but I couldn’t, I felt if I quit now I will miss the chance to have my own business. So I stop trading and begin observing, studying, analyzing and practicing.

Observing : I began observing Forex Market, what causes its moving, reacting, ranging and trading.

Analyzing: I began working with technical and fundamental analysis; how each analysis can predict and redirect the market and how I can use them both for my own benefit. I will talk about these analysis in the next paragraph.

Reading : I bought Forex Trading Books and read them, books explaining different strategies and tactics used by experienced traders.

Practicing : I created demo accounts and began trading virtually and each technique I invent I try it and monitor its performance and validity.

After one year of study and analysis, trying and updating trading techniques and after many failure and frustration I reached my own strategy and it is working very well and each month my profit is positive.

Implementation

I reached my targets and I built a successful strategy, but that’s not enough; to make profit I must not miss any opportunity and forex market is full of opportunities because it is the most active market in the world, for that reason I must sit all time and watch and detect opportunities all day long from Monday to Friday.

How to resolve this problem, I can’t sit and observe the market hours after hours, I have my career and my family, so I thought I must program my strategy, let the Information Technology do the hard work for me, and nobody is discipline as a software, so I created an artificial intelligent software which collects data from the market and implement my strategy on this data and detect opportunities 24/24. This program analyzes fundamental and technical data and generates forex signals which are forwarded automatically to my broker platform where the signals are executed automatically and forwarded also to my website members. All this is done without my interfering, I just run the program, it analyzes and makes its decisions (Buying, Selling or stay aside). How to succeed in Forex Trading

Five over hundred traders succeed in this business, what differentiate those five successful from the 95 others is one thing ,,,, it is the HARD WORK. Forex trading is not an easy business, and who tells you he can make you rich in one night is one of those 95. Only one thing can make you a successful trader, HARD WORK , and nothing else. Don’t rely on other traders or advisers to help you, rely and have confidence on yourself.

Don’t begin trading quickly, the forex market will not go anywhere, it will stay forever, give yourself 6 to 12 months of studies, analysis, readings, practice and build your own strategy before begin real trading, it will take a lot of time and dedication but at the end you will reach your target.

Strategy

I will reveal some techniques I use which help traders in their trades.

My strategy follows the following tips and techniques:

1 – Discipline : Put criteria for your trades, watch the market and only trade when criteria are met, if they are not met do not trade. My program is the most disciplined trader, it takes care of all of this, it monitors the market and only trade if only criteria are met, and the second advantage of this is the elimination of the fear factor, it enters a trade when it sees it is good to enter and fear nothing.

2 – Money management : It’s the main key for good trading, I exit all trades and stop trading for a specific day if I lost -60 pips, in the other hand I put stop loss for my trades if I reached +25 pips profit, in that case profit will not get under +25 pips and it has open target, and all I have to do is go out and have fun.

3 – No trades for now : The most important thing in trading is sometime not to trade, I take this decision after looking to my charts and see that there is not enough volatility or there is no enough reports will be released for today and it is better to wait until market is more volatile. I advise traders not to trade during the first days of the month, personally I begin trading at the first Friday of the month when the Non Farm payroll report will be released.

4 – Analysis : I use fundamental and technical analysis while trading. Fundamental defines the trend of the market and the technical analysis is used after the definition of the trend. I trade the news by analyzing pragmatically the released data for a specific report and generate signals which are executed immediately on the trading platform and forwarded simultaneously to my members. Fundamental and technical analysis must be used together, if one is used without the other this will lead to failure.

5 – Technical indicators : In the forex market there is a lot of indicators which are used by many traders. I use ADX, Bollinger Bands to identify trends and volatility; RSI to identify an over Bought or Sold. Moving Average to identify a signal. And the most important technique is FIBONACCI, I advise traders to implement this technique and use it to confirm trades.


Finally, I must say that Forex is not easy, and many times we feel that someone is conspiracy on us, but the truth is nothing is impossible, and others successful traders are not more intelligent than others or they are genius from other planet, the fact is the more you work the more you become closer to become good trader. Do not quit quickly because this business deserves our dedication.

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How to trade the News

News Trading or (Trade the news technique) is a term which we always hear, in this article We will describe how We see Forex News Trading and how We trade the news; I tried forex news trading for many years and discovered great things; how to use economic reports and forex news along with technical analysis.

In this article We will describe the most accurate and profitable FX techniques that each trader must use in his trades. First of all, we must use Technical and Fundamental analysis in our trades, we can’t rely on one without the other, we must use them both; Technical analysis analyses the history of the currency and predict the future price; each trader has a different forex strategy which he uses in analyzing the market, me too I have my own strategies and they are not hidden;

Let’s talk now about the fundamental analysis, I tried most of fundamental and news trading techniques but I didn’t find them worthy, it is real that releasing news can affect a certain currency, but how it affects the currency and when it deviates that currency, some economic reports make the currency jump 100 pips during the first split second of the time release – you must pay for this kind of service (getting the data in the second of the release)

In addition a report may affect a currency during the first 10 minutes or half hour but before it takes the right trend it can fluctuates up and down and may stop you out, many traders put entries above and below the price before 2 minutes of the release, and wait for the spike, but also it is not worthy method because it may happen that the news which deviate the currency doesn’t have enough power to hit the target or maybe the revision came opposite to the actual or the deviation between the actual and the forecast was not enough to enter a trade or maybe the report was released and the price was below a certain resistance which forbid the price to pass it, so you enter a LONG trade but you find that the price went up, then tests the resistance then turns back to the support level and stops you out.

I faced a lot of these problems and you will face it too if you don’t follow the right technique while trading the news. My technique is very simple and effective:

1 – Don’t trade all news trading reports, trade only those who create and define the direction of the trend (Interest rates, trade balance and NonFarm Payroll). Do not trade these news trading reports only because they are important it may happen that a report came better then expected but do not create a move. I enter a trade only if the actual data came much better or worse (good deviation) and the revised data came along with the actual data and there is no important conflicting report.

2 – The other normal news trading reports are also important; they are used to confirm or to close a trade especially when we are in the beginning of a specific trade; If you have just entered a trade and your current profit is between -20 and 20 pips and a specific report is released and that report affects the currency you are trading then we close it because this report has a good probability to stop you out. When you gain a good number of pips then you may not rely on normal economic reports and rely only on technical analysis and continue your trade until you hit your target.

Fundamental and news trading is a good technique but we must use it along with technical analysis, and we must take in consideration trading the important news reports, the deviation between actual and Consensus, the revised data, the conflicting news trading reports and the support and resistance levels.

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